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SA likely to miss herd immunity target in vaccination drive, says Prof Shabir Madhi

  • Vaccinology Professor Shabir Madhi says the nation is unlikely to attain its herd immunity target.
  • Madhi mentioned the native variant, and a 3rd wave of infections anticipated later this year, have been likely to hinder vaccination plans.
  • Government goals to vaccinate round 40 million folks to obtain herd immunity by year’s finish.

The nation is unlikely to attain its 2021 coronavirus herd immunity target and will “recalibrate” expectations round Covid-19 jabs, a high vaccinologist mentioned on Monday.

A extra transmissible coronavirus variant first recognized in South Africa late final year fuelled the nation’s second an infection wave and delayed the beginning of vaccinations in February.



Studies have proven the variant to be extra resistant to many of the present vaccines than the virus’ unique kind and different mutations.

Vaccinology Professor Shabir Madhi, lead investigator on the Oxford/AstraZeneca vaccine trial in South Africa, mentioned the native variant and a 3rd wave of infections anticipated later this year have been likely to hinder inoculation plans.

“We need to recalibrate… our understanding of what we can actually achieve with Covid-19 vaccines,” Madhi advised a digital panel dialogue.

“The notion of getting to herd immunity… at least with this first generation of Covid-19 vaccines, is extremely slim.”

ALSO READ | Covid-19: First wave hit poorer communities hardest, likely to have improved herd immunity – report

Government goals to vaccinate 67% of its inhabitants – round 40 million folks – to obtain herd immunity by year’s finish.

Inoculations began final month with jabs developed by US pharma large Johnson & Johnson.

The rollout was briefly delayed after a examine discovered that AstraZeneca vaccines – the primary doses to land in the nation – solely supplied restricted safety in opposition to delicate and reasonable illness brought on by the brand new variant.

Substantial portions of the vaccines are solely anticipated in April and May.

Infections are in the meantime anticipated to resurge in June or earlier if a cap on mass gatherings is lifted through the upcoming Easter vacation.

So far, South Africa has secured 11 million Johnson & Johnson vaccines and 20 million doses of a jab developed by Pfizer.

Another 12 million doses are anticipated from the WHO-backed vaccine pooling initiative Covax and an undetermined quantity from the African Union.

The nation is the worst-hit by the pandemic in Africa, with over 1.5 million circumstances and virtually 50 000 deaths recorded to date.

But President Cyril Ramaphosa on Sunday mentioned the beginning of vaccinations had, “… gone extremely well”, and that each day infections had slowed sufficient to carry virtually all motion restrictions.


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